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- Confidential / Apple Product Marketing
- Written by David Garr, with help from Didier Diaz
- Contact: David Garr, Market Intelligence, GARR1
-
-
- COMPAQ'S LTE/286: THE POWER NOTEBOOK COMPUTER
-
-
- _______
- SUMMARY
-
- On October 16, Compaq announced two notebook computers with significant
- functionality, the LTE/286 and the LTE. The LTE/286 weighs only 6.7 pounds and
- measures just 1.9" by 8 1/2" by 11". It comes equipped with 640 KB of RAM, a
- 40 MB hard disk, a 3.5-inch floppy drive, and an 80286 processor. This
- configuration is priced at $4,999 and is available in limited quantities. Its
- low resolution 640 x 200 screen appears to be its key weakness. The LTE has
- similar specifications except that it is based on a 9.54-MHz 80C86 processor
- and only supports the 20 MB fixed disk. Its price is $2,999.
-
- We think the LTE and the LTE/286 are the first notebook computers to offer
- sufficient features to meet the needs of most mobile computer users. These
- machines should reinforce Compaq's image of offering the latest technology for
- premium prices. However, since we haven't seen their screens or keyboards, we
- cannot be sure of their overall functionality.
-
- _________________________________________
- SITUATION: SPECIFICATIONS OF THE LTE/286
-
- One of the hottest segments of the portable computer market is the "notebook"
- category. NEC popularized this category a year ago with the announcement of
- the UltraLite, a 4.4 pound XT-compatible. In July of this year, Zenith
- introduced its notebook system, the MinisPort, which features a 2-inch micro
- floppy disk drive and weighs 5.8 pounds. Several other notebook systems have
- been introduced in the Japanese market this year also, including a 5.5 pound
- system from Toshiba that has a standard 3.5-inch floppy drive.
-
- On October 16, Compaq announced two "lite" notebook computers, the LTE/286 and
- the LTE. The LTE/286 weighs 6.7 pounds and measures just 8 1/2 by 11 inches,
- and is 1.9 inches high. It is the first U.S. notebook computer to offer a
- 80C286 processor, a 40 MB hard disk and a standard 3.5-inch floppy. Battery
- life also appears to be good for a DOS portable; Compaq estimates 3.5 hours.
-
- The backlit screen appears to be the weak link, as its resolution is only 640 x
- 200 pixels. The computer is priced at $4,999 ($4,499 for the 20 MB version).
- The LTE has similar specifications except that it is based on a 9.54-MHz 80C86
- processor and is priced at $2,999 for the 20 MB version.
-
- For the purpose of this document, we will call the LTE and LTE/286 "notebook"
- computers, since that is what the industry is calling them. But since they are
- heavier and thicker than other notebook computers, they perhaps should be
- considered "laptops."
-
- These notebook computers have limitations, such as poor screen display and
- limited expansion. Therefore, they are not directly comparable to the
- fully-functional Macintosh Portable. However, we will do more analysis of the
- LTE/286 since it comes closer to the functionality of the Macintosh Portable
- than the LTE does.
-
- Compaq is differentiating itself from its competitors by offering a standard
- diskette drive. The two leading Notebook computers, the Zenith MinisPort and
- the NEC UltraLite, both use non-standard removable media, which we believe has
- limited their acceptance. (The Toshiba T1000, which does offer a 3.5 inch
- diskette drive, is often not considered a notebook computer because of its
- bulkier size.) Furthermore, the LTE/286's fixed disk drive and 80286 processor
- are advantages over the Zenith, NEC, and Toshiba machines.
-
- Processor RAM Disk Graphics Weight Dimensions Price
- HxWxD (in)
- -----------------------------------------------------------------
- Compaq LTE 8086 (9.5-MHz) 640KB 20MB CGA 6.7 lbs 1.9x11x8.5 $2,999
- Cmpaq LTE/286 80286 (12-MHz) 640KB 40MB CGA 6.7 lbs 1.9x11x8.5 $4,999
- MinisPort 8088 (8-MHz) 1MB 720KB CGA 5.9 lbs 1.3x12.4x9.8 $1,999
- NEC UltraLite V-30 (9.8-MHz) 640KB 1MB CGA 4.4 lbs 1.4x11.8x8.3 $2,499
- Toshiba T1000 8088 (4.7-MHz) 512KB 720KB CGA 6.4 lbs 2x12.2x11 $999
-
- The price of the LTE/286 is relatively expensive compared to the other systems.
- Since many people consider notebook computers for their second computer, in
- addition to the one on the desktop, the $4,999 price could make it difficult to
- justify.
-
- Compaq has contracted with the Japanese company Citizen Watch Ltd. to
- manufacture the LTE and LTE/286 for international markets. The contract is the
- first time Compaq has asked another company to build its computers. Compaq
- says that it contracted with Citizen in order to meet demand for these notebook
- computers. Citizen does not currently make personal computers. It will learn
- how to assemble them under its agreement with Compaq.
-
- ______________________________________________________________________
- SCENARIO: COMPAQ REINFORCES IMAGE OF OFFERING LEADING EDGE TECHNOLOGY
-
- We think the LTE/286 is the first notebook computer that offers sufficient
- features to meet the needs of most mobile computer users. Until now, notebook
- computers used non-standard storage which made moving data between them and
- desktop systems awkward. The Compaq LTE/286's 3.5 inch diskette drive removes
- that barrier, and gives additional power with its 80286 processor and 40 MB
- hard disk. These advancements in technology will further enhance Compaq's
- reputation for being on the cutting edge of new technology.
-
- Dataquest and InfoCorp predict that these machines will be successful.
- Combining the LTE and the LTE/286, Dataquest estimates that Compaq will sell
- around 90,000 units worldwide in 1990. InfoCorp estimates that Compaq will
- sell around 55,000 units. We believe that the LTE/286 will cannabalize some of
- SLT/286's sales, although the SLT/286 still has advantages in screen resolution
- (640 x 480) and support for the desktop expansion base. We expect the SLT/286
- to eventually be enhanced with a 386SX processor.
-
- Besides price, the other drawback of the LTE/286 (and the LTE) is the screen
- resolution. 640 x 200 is so low that Microsoft Windows (and OS/2 Presentation
- Manager) can only run in black and white mode. So this is not a machine that
- has been designed to run graphical environments.
-
- ____________
- IMPLICATIONS
-
- * Not a Macintosh. The LTE/286 offers many attractive features. However, it
- does not have the functionality of the Macintosh Portable. It cannot run a
- graphical environment very well (slow screen updating, no built-in pointing
- device). Its screen is far inferior to the Macintosh Portable's screen. Its
- battery life lasts about half as long as the Macintosh battery. It doesn't
- have networking built in. And most importantly, it is not a Macintosh, and so
- it lacks the power, integration, and intuitiveness of the Macintosh.
-
- * Diversity of mobile computers. Compaq now has two notebook computers (LTE
- and LTE/286), a portable (SLT/286), and a transportable (Portable 386). Each
- of these machines appeals to a different segment of the market, depending on
- the customer's desire for portability vs. functionality. Companies which are
- trying to compete in the mobile computer market face the challenging task of
- providing a wider variety of machines than in the past.
-
- * Expectation have been raised. Although the initial pricing of the Compaq
- notebooks is sufficiently high to limit the immediate impact on competitor's
- notebooks, a new level of expectations has been set by which competitive
- notebooks will now be judged. Companies planning on introducing notebook
- computers in the future will have to differentiate themselves from Compaq's
- offering.
-
- * Notebook computer sales will accelerate. Before the Compaq LTE/286,
- notebook computers offered limited functionality. Disk storage, memory
- capacity, keyboard, and processor speed had been compromised in favor of weight
- and size. The lack of standard floppy disk drives was one of the main
- limitations of these machines, and made them cumbersome to use. As machines
- like the Compaq LTE/286 become available (especially ones with better screen
- displays than the LTE/286), we expect notebook computers to have higher unit
- sales than larger portables.
-
-
- ______________________
- If you'd like more information, please contact us.
- We also welcome your comments and suggestions.
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